Relay-Version: version B 2.10 5/3/83; site utzoo.UUCP Posting-Version: version B 2.10.1 6/24/83; site pegasus.UUCP Path: utzoo!watmath!clyde!floyd!harpo!eagle!mhuxl!houxm!hogpc!pegasus!cmf From: cmf@pegasus.UUCP Newsgroups: net.invest Subject: Re: Market Decline Message-ID: <939@pegasus.UUCP> Date: Tue, 14-Feb-84 09:41:56 EST Article-I.D.: pegasus.939 Posted: Tue Feb 14 09:41:56 1984 Date-Received: Fri, 17-Feb-84 02:38:07 EST Organization: AT&T Information Systems, Lincroft NJ Lines: 16 Kip, Your fears are justified. Changes in economic conditions are usually perceived in the market 6 months before they begin to take effect. One of the best cycles to follow is the political cycle. It states that there will be a bull market during the last half of the presidential term and a bear market during the first 2 years. This is because there is always changes to industry (ie. tight credit, new taxes,etc) in the first 2 years in order to bring the economy back in line. The next(last) 2 years there is less restraint on industry and a desire to get reelected. With these 2 items of information, it seems very likely that there are jitters in the market. Chuck Fingerman pegasus!cmf